Ground lease DCF-based
Discount the contractual ground-rent stream and its terminal value, then deduct land value from fee-simple property value.
Property value − PV(ground rent)
Change the property, lease, and required-return assumptions to see when four reasonable valuation models converge—and why they sometimes do not.
Created by Desen Lin · California State University, Fullerton
The first two models value the land interest and deduct it from fee-simple property value. The other two value the residual building NOI directly.
Discount the contractual ground-rent stream and its terminal value, then deduct land value from fee-simple property value.
Property value − PV(ground rent)
Capitalize Year 1 ground rent at a land-interest cap rate and deduct the result from fee-simple property value.
Property value − ground rent ÷ land cap rate
Forecast property NOI less ground rent, then discount the riskier residual stream and its terminal value.
PV(property NOI − ground rent)
Capitalize Year 1 building NOI directly using a cap rate that reflects the residual building interest.
(Property NOI − ground rent) ÷ building cap rate
Required returns should generally reflect the risk order: ground-lease NOI < fee-simple property NOI < residual building NOI.
Move a slider or enter a value. The four valuations, component bridge, comparison bars, and cash-flow paths update immediately.
Common inputs establish fee-simple value and the contractual rent schedule.
Models 1 and 2 price the comparatively secure ground-rent stream.
DCF-implied guide: 6.97% = 7.30% − 0.33% equivalent annual rent growth.
Models 3 and 4 price the residual building NOI after rent is paid.
The longest bar is the highest current estimate. Comparable estimates require internally consistent risk and growth assumptions.
The four estimates span $0.61M, or 1.1% of their average. They are tightly clustered in the Chapter 17 example.
All amounts are in millions of dollars. Parentheses indicate a deduction from fee-simple value.
| Calculation | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fee-simple property value | $100.00 | $100.00 | — | — |
| Land value deduction | ($42.48) | ($42.86) | — | — |
| PV / capitalized building NOI | — | — | $57.75 | $57.14 |
| Building value | $57.52 | $57.14 | $57.75 | $57.14 |
The ground rent steps up every 10 years while property NOI grows annually; building NOI is the residual after the rent payment.
The models are cross-checks, not four independent facts. Large gaps usually reveal inconsistent assumptions about growth, risk, or terminal pricing.
Classroom simplification. The starting inputs reproduce the Chapter 17 Seaview Apartments spreadsheet calculations, subject to display rounding. Rent increases occur in Years 10, 20, and 30, as in the workbook. The model assumes annual end-of-year cash flows and terminal values based on final projected-year cash flow; it omits taxes, transaction costs, financing, lease reversion, default, renewal options, and other legal provisions. This is an instructional illustration, not an appraisal.